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Fishing Where The Fish Are

February 4, 2009

At gCommerce, we have been busy evaluating the changes in consumer booking behavior through the Internet. This should be no surprise, but the overall behavior of consumers online is in a state of flux. 

I like to quantify online marketing and revenue management initiatives in terms of demand pools. In my experience, these demand pools hold especially true when dealing with a transient customer.

As we see it, there are four basic demand pools:

1. Hotel Direct Demand. This is the most valuable of the demand pools. It refers to customers who are loyal to a specific property and will always look to book with their favorite property before looking at other options.

2. Interest-Based Demand. This refers to customers traveling because of a specific interest or activity. Common categories include golf trips, spa trips or trips built around a specific event.

3. Market-Based Demand. The most competitive of the demand pools, this consists of customers who know they are traveling to a specific market and have general criteria (price, location, etc.), but are not biased to a specific property.

4. Incremental Demand. This pool consists of travelers who do not plan to take a trip, but receive an offer that is so attractive that they decide to book a trip. These travelers are generally very rate-sensitive and focused on receiving the best value possible.

Interactive Marketing can have an impact on each of these demand pools. Here is a brief overview of common tactics to attack each:

Hotel Direct Demand: Using tools associated with a property’s loyalty program can garner great results. These customers are emotional about a particular property. The experience they have through the Web needs to tap into what makes them emotional. A property’s Web site in particular is vital to ensuring these customers never get “curious” and try a competitor’s property.

Interest-Based Demand: Creating effective packaging through a property Web site that connects the property with events and attractions in the market is a first step to penetrating this demand pool. The hotel must effectively represent each of its key amenities through its Web site. Don’t skimp here, as travelers really want to understand all that a hotel or resort has to offer. Finally, a property must market each individual event, attraction and amenity with a dedicated Internet marketing campaign, incorporating paid search, public relations and media placements to gain traction with this demand pool.

Market-Based Demand: In most locations, this is the most robust of the demand pools. Oftentimes, properties will rely on big travel sites like Expedia to gain exposure and capture their fair share of this demand pool. Keep in mind, these customers are not loyal to a specific property and may not become long-term fans. They are generally price-sensitive and research driven; they will read everything they can find about a property before making a reservation.

Incremental Demand: Always the most fickle demand pool, igniting incremental demand is very much based on the value of the offer presented. Travelzoo and similar programs have been consistent tools for hotels to reach this segment of travelers.

As the economy has nosedived, we have seen a big shift in the value of each demand pool. 

First off, Incremental Demand has all but dried up. gCommerce clients that have continued to launch campaigns to get people on the road have seen ROIs decrease substantially. To be effective, a property will generally need to offer a rate with which they are not comfortable. 

Market Demand, while smaller, is still there in most locations. That said, the consumer is becoming far more rate/value-sensitive. In most markets we operate in, we have seen competitor hotels offering deals that just six months ago would have seemed insane. 

Incremental Demand is interesting. Searches for high-end vacations such as golf trips and spa weekends have dropped. However, searches for events and attractions that would appeal to a local drive market are holding solid. This points to a consumer who is trading big, expensive trips for long weekends at their closest population center. 

Lastly, there is Hotel Direct Demand. Properties that consistently offer stellar and consistent service are holding strong in this demand pool, while properties that do not offer a compelling advantage are seeing their Hotel Direct Demand dry up (presumably the customers are dropping into the Market Demand Pool). TripAdvisor and other customer review sites are a vital tool to maintaining a loyal customer base.

Based on these findings and others, we are advising our clients in most cases to ditch their efforts targeting Incremental Demand Pools. The ROI is just not there. Instead, we are seeing better returns when the marketing dollars are spent marketing packages targeting events, attractions and amenities in the area and at the property. Shift those marketing dollars and measure the returns every day.  

As hard as it is to swallow at times, most properties really need to drop rates and drive trial to attract the Market Demand Pool. Participate in Online Travel Agent site promotions and get those customers in the door. 

Finally, there is no time more important than now to earn long-term fans of your property. When you gain trial from a new guest, do everything you can to get to know them and ensure their stay is memorable. Use the Web to further the relationship. These customers cost less to attract and will fuel gains in market share even during the toughest of times. 

Posted by Scott van Hartesvelt on February 4, 2009 | Comments (8)

February 9, 2009
In response to: Fishing Where The Fish Are
Brady commented:

MVH - Its possible but I don't believe so. Let me try asking the question a different way as I definitely see your point of view... What if during my initial search I determined I would only spend $100 and the Prescott property was the only place offering a rate lower then that. Couldn't it be argued that, without the rate/value, the demand didn't exist?


February 8, 2009
In response to: Fishing Where The Fish Are
mvh commented:

are you confusing incremental demand with increased market share? Prescott, for example - the trip was not created by the rate - the demand existed. the booking at the Prescott hotel was generated by the rate - as opposed to some other location with a better deal.


February 6, 2009
In response to: Fishing Where The Fish Are
BradyMurray a.k.a. ZMM commented:

Scott - I think we are both accurate in some sense. You are saying that an offer alone is no longer getting peoples attention. My argument is that although someone may initially start of in the pool of market demand or interest demand, once you have their attention, can't you essentially change their demand pool? In the case I stated above, although you may have initially found you as a result of interest, they booked strictly because of the value and would not have booked if not for that value. While I agree that the likes of TravelZoo are losing some of their bang for the buck, I still believe incremental is alive, its just masked by some of the other demand pools...if that makes sense.


February 6, 2009
In response to: Fishing Where The Fish Are
Scott VH commented:

I love the comments back and forth, but still hold to my original thoughts. The issue with incremental demand is that it is expensive to court. With the exception of a database you have already developed, Incremental Demand as we define it requires you to advertise to some large group of customers. Be it a purchased email list or a TravelZoo or something similar. Our experience has been that ROI's on those campaigns have fallen dramatically, sometimes into negative territory. We believe its better to target micro-segments of people that are already coming to your area for an event or attraction...better bang for the marketing bucks. You still need to great deal, but the chances of conversion become much higher.


February 6, 2009
In response to: Fishing Where The Fish Are
M&M commented:

Incremental Demand does play a important role in these rough economic times. Everybody tightening their belts and try spending less,vacation/holiday may not find at the main planning board anymore.BUT everybody need a break!Like ZMM said "just wanted to get out of Phonenix" Because the deal is so great value,human being may fall into the common thinking "such a great deal and not that costly plus I need a break too..why not?!" THE DEAL IS ON ! Imagine daily just few % from these group of people..how much the market-share had gain from this channel. IF the deal not prompt directly to us or not that tempting..will we purposed to look for it and find it especially during this downtorn economy..


February 6, 2009
In response to: Fishing Where The Fish Are
Miyco Lim commented:

Incremental Demand does play a important role in these rough economic times. Everybody tightening their belts and try spending less,vacation/holiday may not find at the main planning board anymore.BUT everybody need a break!Like ZMM said "


February 5, 2009
In response to: Fishing Where The Fish Are
ZMM commented:

1. I live in Phoenix and decide I want to get out of the valley for a few days. I look at multiple different destinations within driving distance of Phoenix. I settle on a place in Prescott due to the incredible value of the property. Although my initial reasoning was interest based (I just wanted to get out of Phoenix), I ended up booking mainly because of the deal (incremental). If not for such a great deal I probably just would have stayed home.


February 5, 2009
In response to: Fishing Where The Fish Are
BradyMurray commented:

Scott, Good Read! First off, I believe the paragraph below was meant to be directed at interest based demand and not incremental... Incremental Demand is interesting. Searches for high-end vacations such as golf trips and spa weekends have dropped. However, searches for events and attractions that would appeal to a local drive market are holding solid. This points to a consumer who is trading big, expensive trips for long weekends at their closest population center. Your findings regarding Incremental Demand are very interesting especially considering the current state of the economy and the fact that incremental demand is also, in most cases, the best deal. Also, while some incremental demand generators such as TravelZoo might not be generating the same revenues they once did, I still believe that incremental demand is still very much alive, its just much more difficult to quantify. A couple examples

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